• FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    Carbon credits are an absolute scam but EVs are also not going to get mass adoption and aren’t going to replace ICE cars until used EVs are a thing without needing to replace the battery for the price of a whole car. So I can see why Toyota wouldn’t be too interested in EVs, the tech for them isn’t there for global adoption and is still a niche market.

    • Hapankaali@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      EVs already attained mass adoption. In Norway almost all new cars are EVs. Several countries are not far behind. Most countries are more suitable for EVs than Norway.

      • Chriswild@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        How are most countries more suitable for EVs than Norway? Norway’s hydro power and smaller size is pretty great for EVs.

        • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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          4 months ago

          The size of the country isn’t particularly relevant. How many Australians for example regularly cross the desert? What’s relevant is how far individual people commute and that tends to be a function of things like adoption of Work From Home policies and population density.

          For example the UK is quite good for electric vehicles because the population is very dense (especially in London where the population is extremely dense).

      • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        I’m not sure about Norway but here in Estonia the vast vast majority of cars sold are used. New cars are rarely sold due to the price.

        • Hapankaali@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          All cars were new cars once. If a majority of new cars are EVs, then it is only a matter of time before most used cars are as well.

          It’s not (just) a matter of money. Even in China a third of new vehicles are EVs, and Estonia is much richer than China.

          • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            The problem is that replacing the battery in an EV costs as much as a new car which is something you need to do if it’s 10 years old.

            Even if 1/3 of new cars sold is an EV that will take decades for any meaningful adoption since new cars are incredibly uncommon and affordable replacemt batteries don’t yet exist.

            I don’t mind car makers making EVs but it seems like a pretty reasonable choice from Toyota not to enter that market yet.

            • Chriswild@lemmy.world
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              4 months ago

              You don’t have to replace the battery every 10 years. LiFePo cells can do more than 3000 cycles before going below 85% rated capacity. CATL has been making these cheaply for years.

              Toyota has been actively sabotaging EV transitions for decades. Of course they’re against the thing they don’t want.

              • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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                4 months ago

                I can currently find exactly zero used cars with a LiFePo battery here. I looked around more and it doesn’t seem to be even used by any car brands that exist here so I have no way to check how expensive a replacement would be. I’m assuming there’s a reason it’s not used but I’m not going to dig into battery research over a lemmy post.

                If those batteries solve all the issues leading to used EVs being feasible then that would be great in about a decade or two if they adobt that right now.

    • Tja@programming.dev
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      4 months ago

      The battery in my car got replaced. For a 82kWh battery it was $11k, like two years ago. And it only keeps getting cheaper. And they come with 200.000 km warranty.

      LiFePo4 have like 5 times the lifespan. So they will outlive your car, you can put them in your next car, they will outlive that one too and then you can use them as buffer storage for your house.

      • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        11k is more than double of what the average person pays for a car here. The vast majority buy used cars for about 5000 euros on average for a good quality one but you can get a car for even under 1k. Until EVs can hit those prices only a handful of people will buy them in poorer countries.

        • Tja@programming.dev
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          4 months ago

          They will, you can get a Zoe for 6k right now. There just are no 20 year old evs yet.

          • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            The cheapest used Zoe I can find in Estonia is 7k and it’s in bad condition all the rest are from 15 - 25k.

              • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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                4 months ago

                7 is less than 25 so I’m confused about what you’re confused by. Maybe prices haven’t gone down as much as you’d like, but they’ve gone down, so clearly they are second-hand vehicles.

                • Tja@programming.dev
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                  4 months ago

                  I was the one who said you can find them for 6, because I’m looking to buy one. Someone said they cost 15-25 used. Who buys a used car for the price of a new one?

    • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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      4 months ago

      Wait what?

      EVs are not going to be mass adopted until EVs are mass adopted and there are second hand electric vehicles. The logic of that one just goes round in circles.

      Also who on earth is replacing the batteries on electric vehicles after 5 years of ownership? They will still be at about 80% capacity which is more than enough for most needs, no one’s requiring the replacement of batteries on these cars what are you want about?

      • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        The tech for affordable replacement batteries isn’t there and most used cars sold here are 10 years old at least.

        If you’re buying a used car for 5000 and you know that at some point you need to cough up 10k to replace the battery you aren’t buying an EV.

        I sold my car after I moved to the city since I can get everywhere by tram but take my dad for example: He bought a used van about 15 years ago and he isn’t going to replace it any time soon. If an EV can’t last 20 years without a 10k investment in the middle it just won’t be an attractive option. There are still cars from the 70s on the streets here and unless batteries become affordable that isn’t changing.

        • set_secret@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          bruh in 10 years batteries are going to be significantly cheaper. probably less than half of what you’re banging on about.

          • FluffyPotato@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            It would need to drop to 1/10 of the current price for a used EV market to be viable and about 1/20 for it to be a more attractive option over an old ICE car.