I have always wondered, at what point does the team know they missed on a pick? For example, on the first day of Cardinals training camp, was it obvious that the team had missed on the Josh Rosen pick? Did the Bengals know right away that Joe Burrow was going to be a star?
I imagine there’s a lot of confirmation bias. Coaches and players will say “yeah I could tell”. But most rookies aren’t great and do improve and I imagine unless they’re a complete disaster it’s hard to tell.
Tyreek Hill said Mahomes was trash as a rookie and imagine people have thought that about various rookies who’ve been good just don’t then come out and say “yeah I thought he’d suck”