I have always wondered, at what point does the team know they missed on a pick? For example, on the first day of Cardinals training camp, was it obvious that the team had missed on the Josh Rosen pick? Did the Bengals know right away that Joe Burrow was going to be a star?
KeiVare Russell was a 3rd round CB that was so bad the Chiefs cut him after week 1 of the year they drafted him. Looked up his stats and he had a whopping 20 career tackles, 2 PD and one lone INT for his career.
What a waste of a pick.
I don’t, but lying about in interviews after he left was stupid.
I remember when the Niners drafted Lance all the reports would come out of him throwing under 50 percent in practice, and all the players would say quotes about him like “ he’s learning and processing fast.” I wonder if they secretly knew they fucked up, and that’s why they retained Jimmy the next year just in case
The record for fastest Bust remains in the NBA and the Celtics drafting poor Len Bias #1 overall
Generally they know
Isaiah wilson
It’s been a year or two since I last heard it but Tony Boselli has this story that he’s told a few times over the years on the Jags Monday podcasts about this player who came into minicamp during his heyday as a player (don’t remember if it was a drafted player or not) but he made it clear that it was obvious even in shorts that the guy couldn’t play football
I remember after his first start, a lot of us in Arizona felt like Rosen was going to be pretty good.
He showed some promise early on, but it all got beaten out of him.
I’ve heard players with podcasts talk about knowing the team messed up within a couple practices.
Danny Watkins. I’m not sure he made it to training camp for the Eagles— first round pick, an Andy Reid selection, who decided to pursue his passion as a firefighter over being a first-round pick in the NFL.
AJ Jenkins
Mac Jones had a fantastic rookie year. I doubt the Patriots coaches/FO saw coming what is happening today…
Yes maybe the first practice they’ll have an idea
I think it is possible to know immediately, some dudes show up to camp out of shape with 0 study done and obviously have been riding on raw talent rather than any work ethic. The opposite can also be true.
Then, there is the difference between knowing and how long it takes to admit/acknowledge it. IMO it’s obvious Bryce isn’t going to be the guy but I’m not sure if they are ready to admit that.
I imagine there’s a lot of confirmation bias. Coaches and players will say “yeah I could tell”. But most rookies aren’t great and do improve and I imagine unless they’re a complete disaster it’s hard to tell.
Tyreek Hill said Mahomes was trash as a rookie and imagine people have thought that about various rookies who’ve been good just don’t then come out and say “yeah I thought he’d suck”