The crisis is most acute in cargo aviation: air cargo turnover fell from 9.2 billion tonne-kilometers in 2021 to 1.9 billion in 2024. Experts note that without access to modern aircraft and service, the degradation of the industry may deepen further.

https://fl360aero.com/detail/russian-carriers-return-to-operation-of-old-aircraft-mothballed-before-the-ukraine-war/2273

Having no capacity for Rapid Dragon type capability via cargo and airlift aircraft fleets is a dead end for russia’s military power. Long term it is game over especially since russia also lags far behind in long range tube artillery development and is at best on par with Ukraine on long distance flying bomb development.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Dragon_(missile_system)