busy eating waffles brb

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 19th, 2023

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  • Is your question “what is the probability for one of my post to have 69% upvotes”? This should be answered by a binomial distribution!

    According to this website, for p=0.5; n=100; and x=69 the probability should be ~0.005%.

    This means that if 100 people vote your post perfectly randomly, the chance of getting 69% upvotes is ~0.005%. This number will also become smaller if more people start voting since given an infinite amount of votes, the ratio of upvotes should converge towards the chance that a person gives your post an upvote (aka. 50%) so we’d get even further from our 69% target.

    Basically, if people vote perfectly randomly it’s unlikely to get to exactly 69%. Such is the fate of us mortals :(