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I think they might get 2ish more wins, they still have 4 division games left, which tend to be competitive, and they are in the weakest division. It’s gonna be a bad season but it might not be a total disaster.
I think they might get 2ish more wins, they still have 4 division games left, which tend to be competitive, and they are in the weakest division. It’s gonna be a bad season but it might not be a total disaster.
This is the first time since 2020 that a team that scored a touchdown lost to a team that did not score a touchdown. The last time this happened was when the Bills beat the Jet with 6 field goals in 2020.
I don’t know that Bears should be running this out…
6-2-2 against the spread is not that meaningful. If Vegas is getting it right it should be about 50-50. Here we have them beating the spread 6 out of 10 times, and not beating it 4 times. That doesn’t seem extreme enough on this sample size to say that there is a systematic underestimation.
I don’t think I’ve ever seen a game graphic where they actually modeled a player’s ruptured flesh before.
Also who are we kidding, Rodgers is not playing this season
Yes the Lions have had an easier schedule, which was expected to be the case earlier in the season.
68.1% is still pretty good
The Browns so Watson gets a ring riding the bench, so I can watch reddit implode
Who is the girl in the red swimsuit for this Aruba commercial…she got a wagon
How is the good honest .500 ball copypasta not in here
Didn’t he only play like 2 and a half games lol
The Panthers if only because they are earlier in the rebuild and won’t be in cap hell thanks to a single contract. You just have more options.
We can look at Pythagorean expectation, which predicts the expected number of wins based on points scored vs. points allowed at this point in the season. And then teams that are winning more games than they “should” based on points scored vs allowed are “worse than their record”, and conversely teams that are winning fewer games than they should are “better than their record.”
By 9 or 10 games played in the expansion era (since 2002), 62% of teams are within 1 win of their expected wins. About 87% are within 2 wins. This season, interestingly, 100% of teams are within 2 wins of expected, and 85% are within 1 win.
There is 1 team who is 2 wins below expected (better than their record):
There are 4 team who are 2 wins above expected (worse than their record):
Now personally I’d argue that no team is really better or worse than their record, because a team that is getting significantly more wins than expected based on points probably has the benefit of skillful players and coaches who can figure out how to keep games close and exploit advantages to squeak out victories (e.g., the Steelers). And teams that are below expected conversely underperform in such situations by habitually making costly errors in close games (Bills). Also, it can be skewed by big blowout wins or losses which in some cases could be isolated “burn the tape” outlier games that don’t really reflect a team’s average performance (Lions and Seahawks vs. Ravens). So make of this what you will.
I can see an unsportsmanlike but a fine? Come on
Jason Kelce is literally here just for them to have something else to talk about than these two teams lol
I wait to reserve judgment on any QB until the rest of the league has played him with the benefit of a full season of film on him. It’s awesome that Stroud and Levis look so good, but there is likely to be some kind of regression once the league figures their weaknesses out more so we will see how they respond. It is exciting though
Never watched a game with such incredible stats for my team and yet was so frustrating to watch
Remember when he stepped on Rodgers’s injured leg and looked like he was in a log rolling contest