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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • 🙄

    I think the youth call what you’re doing “glizzy” or something?

    Nate Silver’s Political Prediction Misses:

    • 2008 Democratic Primaries – Miscalculated early on, adjusted projections as race continued.
    • 2016 Republican Primaries – Low initial odds for Trump’s nomination.
    • 2016 Presidential Election – Predicted Clinton over Trump with 71.4%.
    • 2020 Presidential Election – Projected Biden 89% to win; closer in swing states.
    • 2018 Midterm Senate Races – Overestimated Democratic chances in key states.
    • 2014 Midterms – Underrated Republican gains, particularly in the Senate.

    Nate Silver’s Sports Prediction Successes:

    • PECOTA Model – Accurate MLB player performance forecasting.
    • 2008 MLB Playoff Predictions – Success with playoff team forecasts.
    • March Madness – Generally accurate bracket predictions for early rounds.
    • 2012 MLB Season – High accuracy in team win predictions.
    • NBA Forecasts – Reliable win projections using Elo ratings.

    You wanna keep going tit for tat, homie? It won’t shake out in your favor. Let’s see you show me some sports failures. I’ll keep showing you successes.

    You keep showing me political successes. I’ll keep showing you failures.

    Let’s see who burns out first.

    Ask his wife or kids. Or just check their social media.

    The dude is talented. Not in politics.


  • Nate silver,

    A man who gained his fame through truly superhuman statistical analyzes of sports events,

    For some fucking reason, decided to go balls deep into politics and has been an absolute utter fucking failure ever since. 0% accuracy.

    I have absolutely no interest in hearing anything this dipshit has to say about politics.

    Give me a prediction on next year’s March madness brackets, Nate. Stay in your fucking lane. Politics != Sports.


  • I had a weird recollection the other night.

    I remembered that back in 2012 during the Boston Marathon Bombing that there was a FUCK TON of misinformation going around everywhere. The Boston Globe reported that there was a bomb that went off in the hospital, and that all of Brigham and Women’s hospital was evacuated. And at the time, I was at my desk at Brigham and Women’s hospital.

    Like… The Boston Globe is a highly, highly credible news source. And here I was, maybe 10 miles from their offices, putting out stories that I could prove false in real time on Facebook.

    This isn’t to throw shade at the Boston Globe. They were certainly not the only culprit here. I just remember this distinctly…

    I don’t know quite what my point is here. I guess that there’s always been a lot of it misinformation? Maybe the degree to which we’ve become interconnected through a generations worth of smartphone use has brought not only the disinformation to light, but the problems it creates?

    It certainly feels worse today than it ever was, but as I look back on it I’m not so sure.


  • Motivation isn’t a real thing. Stop leaning on it and waiting for it to show up out of the blue and support you.

    Discipline is what you need. Sucks to hear, sorry for that.

    Trust me on this: you told yourself it’s easy. So do it. It’s easy. If you don’t, these inactions will low key create self hatred. You’ll fall behind before you realize it, be inundated with work, and your subconscious will think back to this moment. All you’ll hear is “Fuck this I hate this this sucks” maybe even “I hate myself”.

    Don’t let it get there.

    It’s easy? Prove it.

    If you get shit done while being true to yourself, self-hate is genuinely difficult.