I think the problem won’t be the formula, it’ll be the progressive dumbing down and simplification that Beth is doing since like forever. It will sell well just because it’s TES, though. Also, if Emil “lol who cares about lore” Pagliarulo is leading the writing and he treats it like he did with FO4…
And it’s not like a single player game gets worse over time. The player count is totally irrelevant and if 2 years from launch nobody is playing it it doesn’t affect your experience at all.
This is a loss for Warhorse and a win for anyone that doesn’t need to play it now.