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10 months agoThrough week 12 that statement has been 100% true. However, if any game ends in a tie, then less than half the teams will lose that week.
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Cake day: October 25th, 2023
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On the flip side, 6 teams have already matched or exceeded their 2022 loss total entering Sunday of week 12:
Buffalo Bills 13-3 in 2022, 6-5 in 2023,
Cincinnati Bengals 12-4 in 2022, 5-5 in 2023
Kansas City Chiefs 14-3 in 2022, 7-3 in 2023
Minnesota Vikings 13-4 in 2022, 6-5 in 2023
New York Giants 9-7-1 in 2022, 3-8 in 2023
Washington Commanders 8-8-1 in 2022 4-8 in 2023
4 of these teams finished in first place in their division last season and only Kansas City is still currently in first place in their division this season.
The title of this post is a bit misleading, as the 10 teams that are more than 1 game over 0.500 are all at least 3 games over 0.500.
Here is another way to look at it:: 10 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 12 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 10 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.
From an overall league perspective that seems very balanced. When you look at each conference things are a slightly different, but still fairly balanced:
In the AFC:: 6 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 6 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 4 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.
In the NFC:: 4 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 6 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 6 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.
This difference may be due to the AFC teams having a home game this season for the non-conference “17th game” added to the regular season schedule in 2021. Overall the AFC leads the NFC 36-25 in non-conference games and AFC teams have hosted 13 more of the non-conference games than the NFC teams (including the Atlanta Falcons-Jacksonville Jaguars game in London where Jacksonville was the home team).