The title of this post is a bit misleading, as the 10 teams that are more than 1 game over 0.500 are all at least 3 games over 0.500.

Here is another way to look at it:: 10 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 12 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 10 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.

From an overall league perspective that seems very balanced. When you look at each conference things are a slightly different, but still fairly balanced:

In the AFC:: 6 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 6 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 4 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.

In the NFC:: 4 teams are at least 3 games over 0.500, 6 teams are within 2 games of 0.500 and 6 teams are at least 3 games under 0.500.

This difference may be due to the AFC teams having a home game this season for the non-conference “17th game” added to the regular season schedule in 2021. Overall the AFC leads the NFC 36-25 in non-conference games and AFC teams have hosted 13 more of the non-conference games than the NFC teams (including the Atlanta Falcons-Jacksonville Jaguars game in London where Jacksonville was the home team).

Through week 12 that statement has been 100% true. However, if any game ends in a tie, then less than half the teams will lose that week.

On the flip side, 6 teams have already matched or exceeded their 2022 loss total entering Sunday of week 12:

Buffalo Bills 13-3 in 2022, 6-5 in 2023,

Cincinnati Bengals 12-4 in 2022, 5-5 in 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 14-3 in 2022, 7-3 in 2023

Minnesota Vikings 13-4 in 2022, 6-5 in 2023

New York Giants 9-7-1 in 2022, 3-8 in 2023

Washington Commanders 8-8-1 in 2022 4-8 in 2023

4 of these teams finished in first place in their division last season and only Kansas City is still currently in first place in their division this season.