The Diamondbacks being in the World Series had me thinking…
What if in the NFC you had a team like the Falcons go 9-8 with a -10 point differential to win the NFC south. They shock the world and make their way through the NFC playoffs by beating the Cowboys at home, somehow shocking the Eagles on the road and then getting matched up with a wild card Seahawks team that upset division rival 49ers in the divisional round. They beat Seattle in a close game in Atlanta to punch a ticket to the SB.
They go and face a 15-2 Chiefs team that is top 5 on offense and defense and has a +200 point differential. Patrick Mahomes looks as unstoppable as ever down the stretch of the regular season and postseason and KC blows their way through the Bills/Bengals to reach the SB.
What is the point spread in that Super Bowl?
I’m not a fan of this example
The most probable scenario this year would be a top contender vs a weaker division winner; say KC vs ATL. Since the game is played on a neutral field, I’d assume KC would be a 10 point favourite?
18-20 with a prime Alabama moneyline
14
Bout treefiddy
2007 Patriots were 12.5 point favorites over the Giants. I think that’s about the limit.
I thought 16.5. Maybe I’m mis remembering
Pain
You’re God-damn right it was 🤌🤌
Pats were 15 point dawgs in brady first sb
Rams were 14-point favorites against the Pats in SB 36. Of course no one knew back then that the GOAT was playing
Tbf he had the killer final drive but was otherwise not especially great that game. Belichick made the #1 offense look pedestrian.
Packers were 14 point favorites (opening line) over the broncos.
The undefeated Patriots were a 12 point spread against the wildcard Giants who ran the gauntlet to make the Superbowl in 2007. I can’t imagine it’d be much larger than that.
You’re predicting a falcons Superbowl, my man!
Probably look at SB 42 when the Pats were 16-0 going up against the underdog Giants who ran hot. A quick google search shows the Pats we’re 12 point favorites.
What would that line have been if Manning tore his ACL or something in the championship game?
The Giants played the Patriots close in the final game of the regular season, that was a mitigating factor for the spread. In this instance I think the Chiefs would be ~14-point favorites against the Falcons
*18-0 😎
*18-1😎
3rd best 18-1 team all time
Pretty sure they were not 18-1 before the game was played…
hell yeah brother.
Cheers from Iraq.
Cowboys by a billion, presumably
Some of the older spreads are pretty funny. Washington was a 2 point favorite over the 72 Dolphins in their SB.
There has not been a spread over 4.5 since Super Bowl 43.
Once you get to 14 I think that’s it for this era barring some freak QB injury on one team
I’d say 13.5
Point spread could be even bigger if any team ever makes it to the Super Bowl but their starting qb gets injured in the conference championship game.
Even with an elite team, I think Cheifs vs eagles would be a pretty low point spread either way but if either team lost their qb and it was the starter, I would expect atleast a full touchdown point swing in that direction.
Especially if that team is not that great outside of their QB. So basically, the Chargers but Justin Herbert is injured in the fourth quarter of the CCG win, and their opponent is a 15-2 NFC team
Imagine if somehow Mahomes went down the week before the SB and suddenly all hopes were riding on Blaine Gabbert. That’d be one hell of a spread I suspect.
If the 49ers finish the season in dominating fashion and go 15-2, and Gabbert has to take on the 49ers in SB58, then the line would be pretty big
Had a certain team made a 4th down conversion last season, there still could’ve been a chance… albeit slim.