• wise_pancake@lemmy.ca
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    8 months ago

    This is going to be much closer than polls and 338 suggest, and I base that on the historically high turnout.

    338 tunes polls to match elections. When you go from low turnout to historically high, that necessarily means people and demographics that previously did not vote are. That implies higher error than expected in the models, and a higher chance of an unanticipated result.

    Don’t rely on the polls to feel safe in the outcome, don’t rely on 338, get your butt out there and vote!

    (Side note, I am a Liberal voter, but this is my ABC advice)

    • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.ca
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      8 months ago

      These outlier polls give me the heebijeebies. Some friends are very calm looking at the “nicer” polls. I can’t shake the feeling that they’re missing some undercurrent.

  • Bubbaonthebeach@lemmy.ca
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    8 months ago

    This is all polls, given that ballots won’t be counted until after 7pm April 28. If you didn’t vote this weekend at advance, get out and vote on the 28th. Take your Voter Information card and driver’s licence if you have them.

      • GuardYaGrill@sh.itjust.works
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        8 months ago

        There are far more important things our government should focus on. Global warming, housing crisis, increase in crime.

        You call it hate, I call it change.

        • Nikophos@lemmy.ca
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          8 months ago

          Respectfully, I’m under the impression that the Conservative party has the least impactful policy for addressing climate change, particularly for carbon emissions.

          I’m also not a fan of their housing plan - I’m concerned that removing federal tax on all home purchases will benefit corporations that purchase single family homes, in comparison to only helping first-time home buyers (or even better imo, the NDP’s housing plans).

          And to address crime, I’ll admit I like their claim to target off-shore tax havens, but the Conservatives have also mentioned targeting pro-Palestinian protestors with jail time (and deportation for internationals) … not to mention, I believe a lot of crime stems from economic and social instability. They haven’t even released an economic platform, but I won’t be surprised if they cut social programs while blaming Trudeau and letting the rich benefit with tax breaks. How will that make Canada safer?

          To be fair, the Liberal’s economic platform disappointed me, but at least they released something. Regardless of what happens, I hope Canadians remember that we’re in this together, and that we need to start holding our politicians accountable. And more importantly, that change for change’s sake isn’t good enough - that we deserve better, not just different.

    • Roundeyegweilo@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      Yank here.

      Trump is hoping conservatives win, so that he can ramp the tariffs up on you guys again, with less resistance. 😂

      Have fun with that.