I’m interested in developing the skill to estimate probabilities for real-world situations. What are the best ways to learn this systematically? Are there books, courses, or exercises that teach probabilistic thinking, Bayesian reasoning, or practical forecasting skills?
I want to check this math and see if the AI is gaslighting me.
It kind of depends on if there is anything specific you want to try and forecast. That said, a lot to data scientists would probably point to Bayesian statistics